Projected change in heat waves over China using the PRECIS climate model | |
Yang, Honglong1,2; Xu, Yinlong1; Zhang, Lei2; Pan, Jie1; Li, Xia2 | |
刊名 | CLIMATE RESEARCH |
2010 | |
卷号 | 42期号:1页码:79-88 |
关键词 | PRECIS SRES A2 Heat waves |
ISSN号 | 0936-577X |
DOI | 10.3354/cr00860 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Honglong |
英文摘要 | An analysis of the simulated distribution of present (1961-1990) and future (2071-2100) heat waves in China from one run of a regional model (PRECIS) using the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A2 scenario is presented. Results indicate that PRECIS simulates the spatial distribution of the extreme high tail of the probability density function of summer temperature in the present case compared to observations. In addition, the characterization of anticyclonic circulation anomalies with heat waves is well simulated by the model. The model projects that heat waves will be more intense, longer and more frequent, with distinct geographical patterns. Western northwest China and northeast China are projected to experience more heat waves than at present. |
学科主题 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES ; METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | INTER-RESEARCH |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000278978000007 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://111.203.20.206/handle/2HMLN22E/19957] |
专题 | 农业环境与可持续发展研究所_气候变化研究室 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Environm & Sustainable Dev Agr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 2.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Honglong,Xu, Yinlong,Zhang, Lei,et al. Projected change in heat waves over China using the PRECIS climate model[J]. CLIMATE RESEARCH,2010,42(1):79-88. |
APA | Yang, Honglong,Xu, Yinlong,Zhang, Lei,Pan, Jie,&Li, Xia.(2010).Projected change in heat waves over China using the PRECIS climate model.CLIMATE RESEARCH,42(1),79-88. |
MLA | Yang, Honglong,et al."Projected change in heat waves over China using the PRECIS climate model".CLIMATE RESEARCH 42.1(2010):79-88. |
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