Predicting the Arrival Time of an Interplanetary Shock Based on DSRT Spectrum Observations for the Corresponding Type II Radio Burst and a Blast Wave Theory

doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ad150f

	Predicting the Arrival Time of an Interplanetary Shock Based on DSRT Spectrum Observations for the Corresponding Type II Radio Burst and a Blast Wave Theory
	Li, Ran 2,3; Zhao, Xinhua 2,4; Yan, Jingye 2,4; Wu, Lin 2,4; Yang, Yang 2,4; Lv, Xuning 2,4; Feng, Shiwei 5; Ruan, Mengsi 1; Xiang NB(向南彬)6; Liang, Yidan 2,3
刊名	ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL
	2024-02-01
卷号	962 期号:2
ISSN号	0004-637X
DOI	10.3847/1538-4357/ad150f
产权排序	第6完成单位
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	Since fast head-on coronal mass ejections and their associated shocks represent potential hazards to the space environment of the Earth and even other planets, forecasting the arrival time of the corresponding interplanetary shock is a priority in space weather research and prediction. Based on the radio spectrum observations of the 16-element array of the Daocheng Solar Radio Telescope (DSRT), the flagship instrument of the Meridian Project of China, during its construction, this study determines the initial shock speed of a type II solar radio burst on 2022 April 17 from its drifting speed in the spectrum. Assuming that the shock travels at a steady speed during the piston-driven phase (determined from the X-ray flux of the associated flare) and then propagates through interplanetary space as a blast wave, we estimate the propagation and arrival time of the corresponding shock at the orbit of the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory-A (STEREO-A). The prediction shows that the shock will reach STEREO-A at 14:31:57 UT on 2022 April 19. The STEREO-A satellite detected an interplanetary shock at 13:52:12 UT on the same day. The discrepancy between the predicted and observed arrival time of the shock is only 0.66 hr. The purpose of this paper is to establish a general method for predicting the shock's propagation and arrival time from this example, which will be utilized to predict more events in the future based on the observations of ground-based solar radio spectrometers or telescopes like DSRT.
学科主题	天文学
URL标识	查看原文
出版地	TEMPLE CIRCUS, TEMPLE WAY, BRISTOL BS1 6BE, ENGLAND
资助项目	NSFC[42030204]; NSFC[42330210]; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB 41000000]; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[2016133]; Pandeng Program of the National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences
WOS关键词	CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ; MAGNETIC CLOUD ; PROPAGATION ; DRIVEN ; EMISSION ; MODEL ; CMES ; STOA
WOS研究方向	Astronomy & Astrophysics
语种	英语
出版者	IOP Publishing Ltd
WOS记录号	WOS:001170075000001
资助机构	NSFC[42030204, 42330210] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDB 41000000] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[2016133] ; Pandeng Program of the National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
版本	出版稿
源URL	[http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/26464]
专题	云南天文台_抚仙湖太阳观测站
作者单位	1.Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Numerical Prediction for Space Storm, Institute of Space Science and Applied Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology, Shenzhen 518055, People's Republic of China; 2.State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, People's Republic of China xhzhao@spaceweather.ac.cn; 3.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, People's Republic of China; 4.Radio Science and Technology Center (π Center), Chengdu 610041, People's Republic of China; 5.Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Optical Astronomy and Solar-Terrestrial Environment, School of Space Science and Physics, Shandong University at Weihai, Weihai 264209, Shandong, People's Republic of China; 6.Yunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming 650011, People's Republic of China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Ran,Zhao, Xinhua,Yan, Jingye,et al. Predicting the Arrival Time of an Interplanetary Shock Based on DSRT Spectrum Observations for the Corresponding Type II Radio Burst and a Blast Wave Theory[J]. ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL,2024,962(2).
APA	Li, Ran.,Zhao, Xinhua.,Yan, Jingye.,Wu, Lin.,Yang, Yang.,...&Liang, Yidan.(2024).Predicting the Arrival Time of an Interplanetary Shock Based on DSRT Spectrum Observations for the Corresponding Type II Radio Burst and a Blast Wave Theory.ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL,962(2).
MLA	Li, Ran,et al."Predicting the Arrival Time of an Interplanetary Shock Based on DSRT Spectrum Observations for the Corresponding Type II Radio Burst and a Blast Wave Theory".ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL 962.2(2024).