Spatial assessment of coastal flood risk due to sea level rise in China's coastal zone through the 21st century

doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.945901

CORC > 烟台海岸带研究所 > 中国科学院烟台海岸带研究所 > 中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室

	Spatial assessment of coastal flood risk due to sea level rise in China's coastal zone through the 21st century
	Xu, He 2,3,4,5; Hou, Xiyong 2,3,5; Li, Dong 2,3,5; Wang, Xiaoli 2,3,5; Fan, Chao 2,3,4,5; Du, Peipei 2,3,4,5; Song, Baiyuan 1
刊名	FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
	2022-08-29
卷号	9 页码:18
关键词	sea level rise coastal flood risk China's coastal zone temporal and spatial characteristics spatial assessment
DOI	10.3389/fmars.2022.945901
英文摘要	Among the climate change-induced threats to coastal regions, coastal flooding caused by sea level rise (SLR) is considered one of the most serious and presents an intensifying trend over time. The negative impacts and risks associated with coastal flooding are difficult to visualize spatially and cause great inconvenience to policy-makers in understanding the distribution of different risk levels and developing adaptation policies. Our study proposes a framework for coastal flood risk (CFR) based on the hazard, exposure & sensitivity, and adaptive capacity of China's coastal zone (CCZ) and maps the spatial distribution of CFR by GIS in 2030, 2050, and 2100 under RCP2.6-SSP1, RCP4.5-SSP2, and RCP8.5-SSP5, respectively. Our results reveal that (1) low-lying coastal areas with densely populated, economically developed, or industrially diverse are faced with serious CFRs, such as the Yellow River Delta, the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, and the coastal areas in Jiangsu. (2) The area of "Very high" CFR level in the CCZ reaches a peak of 44.10x10(3) km(2) in 2100 under RCP8.5-SSP5. And under the higher emission scenario, the areas of five CFR levels would change dramatically in the future. (3) The coastal area of Guangdong is significantly faced with the massive expected population and GDP affected due to CFR among scenarios and years. (4) As threatened by CFR mostly, built-up and farmland are particularly required to guard against the negative impact of coastal flooding, especially in Guangdong and Jiangsu. Results in this study are expected to provide the intuitive information and basis for governments, policy-makers, and local communities in addressing the increased CFR over the CCZ. Besides, our framework of CFR and methodology are flexible and can be adapted for other countries facing the threat of SLR.
资助项目	Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; [XDA19060205] ; [42176221]
WOS关键词	ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ; VULNERABILITY ; CLIMATE ; ADAPTATION ; SHANGHAI ; HAZARDS ; EROSION ; SYSTEM ; CITIES ; AREAS
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology
语种	英语
出版者	FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
WOS记录号	WOS:000852828100001
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/31678]
专题	烟台海岸带研究所_中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室
通讯作者	Hou, Xiyong
作者单位	1.Shanghai Tongji Urban Planning Design Res Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R China 2.Shandong Key Lab Coastal Environm Proc, Yantai, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Yantai Inst Coastal Zone Res, CAS Key Lab Coastal Environm Proc & Ecol Remediat, Yantai, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Yantai Inst Coastal Zone Res, Yantai, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu, He,Hou, Xiyong,Li, Dong,et al. Spatial assessment of coastal flood risk due to sea level rise in China's coastal zone through the 21st century[J]. FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE,2022,9:18.
APA	Xu, He.,Hou, Xiyong.,Li, Dong.,Wang, Xiaoli.,Fan, Chao.,...&Song, Baiyuan.(2022).Spatial assessment of coastal flood risk due to sea level rise in China's coastal zone through the 21st century.FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE,9,18.
MLA	Xu, He,et al."Spatial assessment of coastal flood risk due to sea level rise in China's coastal zone through the 21st century".FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE 9(2022):18.