A biofuel risk management model for biomass-based heat sources considering supply-demand-side uncertainties

CORC > 沈阳自动化研究所 > 中国科学院沈阳自动化研究所 > 数字工厂研究室

	A biofuel risk management model for biomass-based heat sources considering supply-demand-side uncertainties
	Fu DZ(付殿峥)3,4,5; Zhou, Tingting 2; Tang TJ(杨天吉)3,4,5; Zhang T(张涛)1,3,4; Dong JY(董静雅)1,3,4
	2021
会议日期	October 27-30, 2021
会议地点	Chengdu, China
关键词	Biofuel risk management uncertainty biomass-based heat source chance-constrained programming two-stage stochastic programming
页码	1-5
英文摘要	Biofuel-based heat sources are gradually penetrated into heating systems in Northern China in the background of carbon neutrality. It is essential to conduct biofuel risk management study, not only for enhancing the ability of continuous heat supply for heating systems, but also improving the ability of effective cost control. A biofuel risk management model is thus proposed innovatively for biomass-based heat sources considering supply-demand-side uncertainties. The developed model integrates Chance-constrained programming, Two-stage stochastic programming and the traditional linear programming into a general framework. After that, the developed model is applied in to a real heat-source case of biofuel risk management under uncertainties and the corresponding solutions on biofuel risk management are generated. The beneficial results of biofuel allocation pattern can be obtained for decision-makers to provide the fuel management support under different risk levels. Besides, a trade-off analysis between the constraint-violation risk and the system cost can also be provided to conduct in-depth analysis.
产权排序	1
会议录	The 11th International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering & The 4th International Conference on Reliability Systems Engineering (QR2MSE 2021 & ICRSE 2021)
会议录出版者	IEEE
会议录出版地	New York
语种	英语
内容类型	会议论文
源URL	[http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/29974]
专题	沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室
通讯作者	Fu DZ(付殿峥)
作者单位	1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 2.Technical Management Division, Guodian Technology & Environment Group Co, Ltd. Beijing, China 3.Digital Factory Department, Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China 4.Institutes for Robotics and Intelligent Manufacturing, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China 5.Key Laboratory of Networked Control Systems, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fu DZ,Zhou, Tingting,Tang TJ,et al. A biofuel risk management model for biomass-based heat sources considering supply-demand-side uncertainties[C]. 见:. Chengdu, China. October 27-30, 2021.