A method for degradation prediction based on Hidden Semi-Markov models with mixture of Kernels | |
Yang TJ(杨天吉)2,3; Zheng ZY(郑泽宇)1,2,3; Qi L(亓亮)4 | |
刊名 | Computers in Industry |
2020 | |
卷号 | 122页码:1-13 |
关键词 | Prognostics and health management Remaining useful lifetime Hidden semi-Markov models Kernel method approximationa |
ISSN号 | 0166-3615 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | The degradation prediction of equipment is a crucial task in Prognostics and Health Management. This paper proposes an integrated method for data-driven prognosis based on Hidden Semi-Markov Models (HSMM) with kernel methods. However, unlike the assumption of a mixture of Gaussian distribution of emitting probability, we approximate the probabilities of multidimensional condition monitoring data as a linear combination of kernel functions. This method can achieve high-dimensional function fitting with limited parameters. Then, the procedures of parameter re-estimation and kernel center selection are developed. The reliability of equipment is estimated by the posterior probabilities. Finally, we give an integrated framework including offline training and online prediction processes. Some experiments are conducted on an open dataset of aircraft engines. Compared with other HSMM-based methods, it shows that the proposed method is more accurate and credible in RUL prediction. The shape of a mixture of kernels approximation is different from the Gaussian-type of distribution, which impacts the parameters of the degradation model. Therefore, the proposed method can identify a short-term warning state. |
资助项目 | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2018YFF0214704] |
WOS关键词 | REMAINING USEFUL LIFE ; EQUIPMENT HEALTH DIAGNOSIS ; FAULT-DETECTION ; PROGNOSTICS ; SYSTEMS ; ALGORITHM ; FRAMEWORK ; LSTM |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000571219600002 |
资助机构 | National Key Research and Devel-opment Program of China under Grant 2018YFF0214704 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.sia.cn/handle/173321/27540] |
专题 | 沈阳自动化研究所_数字工厂研究室 |
通讯作者 | Yang TJ(杨天吉) |
作者单位 | 1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China 2.Shenyang Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China 3.Institutes for Robotics and Intelligent Manufacturing, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110169, China 4.College of Computer Science and Engineering, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang TJ,Zheng ZY,Qi L. A method for degradation prediction based on Hidden Semi-Markov models with mixture of Kernels[J]. Computers in Industry,2020,122:1-13. |
APA | Yang TJ,Zheng ZY,&Qi L.(2020).A method for degradation prediction based on Hidden Semi-Markov models with mixture of Kernels.Computers in Industry,122,1-13. |
MLA | Yang TJ,et al."A method for degradation prediction based on Hidden Semi-Markov models with mixture of Kernels".Computers in Industry 122(2020):1-13. |
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