Parallel crop planning based on price forecast
Fan, Menghan3,4; Kang, Mengzhen3,4; Wang, Xiujuan1,3; Hua, Jing3,5; He, Chaoxing2; Wang, Fei-Yue3,4
刊名INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS
2021-11-16
期号1页码:22
关键词agent-based modeling crop planning parallel agricultural management price prediction
ISSN号0884-8173
DOI10.1002/int.22739
英文摘要

Agrifood system actors operate within diverse sociocultural, economic, and biophysical settings. For growers, crop planning, usually a yearly business plan, is a key decision to make on when, what, and how many to plant. It is a challenging task as it deals with multiple constraints in volatile economic and/or climate environment. Most crop planning models have difficulty in adapting to changing situation. In this study, a parallel system of crop planning composed of the artificial system, computational experiment, and parallel execution is proposed. The farmers are described as agents, and the decision is made based on the heuristic searching of optimal plan; the adaption of plan is triggered autonomously given strong environment changes. Focus is given to economic environment, which is indicated as product price. In a case study, the economic environment of the artificial system is built based on the monthly and weekly price information for 13 products during 7 years. The computational experiment provides the initial cropping plan and harvest time, with social and ecological constraints. Result shows that the cropping plan can further adapt to price variation. This flexible cropping plan system can strengthen the capability of cooperatives serving small-scale farmers.

资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[62076239] ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)-Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) Joint Research Program[GJHZ2076]
WOS关键词PATTERNS ; FARMERS ; MODELS ; SCALE
WOS研究方向Computer Science
语种英语
出版者WILEY
WOS记录号WOS:000718795700001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Science (CAS)-Thailand National Science and Technology Development Agency (NSTDA) Joint Research Program
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46446]  
专题自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
通讯作者Kang, Mengzhen; Wang, Xiujuan
作者单位1.Beijing Engn Res Ctr Intelligent Syst & Technol, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Inst Vegetables & Flowers, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Qingdao AgriTech Co Ltd, Qingdao, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Fan, Menghan,Kang, Mengzhen,Wang, Xiujuan,et al. Parallel crop planning based on price forecast[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS,2021(1):22.
APA Fan, Menghan,Kang, Mengzhen,Wang, Xiujuan,Hua, Jing,He, Chaoxing,&Wang, Fei-Yue.(2021).Parallel crop planning based on price forecast.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS(1),22.
MLA Fan, Menghan,et al."Parallel crop planning based on price forecast".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS .1(2021):22.
个性服务
查看访问统计
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。


©版权所有 ©2017 CSpace - Powered by CSpace