Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050

doi:10.1016/j.envpol.2017.08.014

CORC > 植物研究所 > 中国科学院植物研究所 > 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室

	Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050
	He, Nianpeng 2; Wen, Ding ; Zhu, Jianxing 2; Tang, Xuli 1; Xu, Li 2; Zhang, Li ; Hu, Huifeng 4; Huang, Mei ; Yu, Guirui
刊名	GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
	2017
卷号	23 期号:4 页码:1575-1584
关键词	carbon sequestration rate climate forest forest C sequestration model logistic storage
ISSN号	1354-1013
DOI	10.1016/j.envpol.2017.08.014
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	Forests store a large part of the terrestrial vegetation carbon (C) and have high C sequestration potential. Here, we developed a new forest C sequestration (FCS) model based on the secondary succession theory, to estimate vegetation C sequestration capacity in China's forest vegetation. The model used the field measurement data of 3161 forest plots and three future climate scenarios. The results showed that logistic equations provided a good fit for vegetation biomass with forest age in natural and planted forests. The FCS model has been verified with forest biomass data, and model uncertainty is discussed. The increment of vegetation C storage in China's forest vegetation from 2010 to 2050 was estimated as 13.92 Pg C, while the average vegetation C sequestration rate was 0.34 Pg C yr(-1) with a 95% confidence interval of 0.28-0.42 Pg C yr (-1), which differed significantly between forest types. The largest contributor to the increment was deciduous broadleaf forest (37.8%), while the smallest was deciduous needleleaf forest (2.7%). The vegetation C sequestration rate might reach its maximum around 2020, although vegetation C storage increases continually. It is estimated that vegetation C sequestration might offset 6-8% of China's future emissions. Furthermore, there was a significant negative relationship between vegetation C sequestration rate and C emission rate in different provinces of China, suggesting that developed provinces might need to compensate for undeveloped provinces through C trade. Our findings will provide valuable guidelines to policymakers for designing afforestation strategies and forest C trade in China.
学科主题	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
电子版国际标准刊号	1365-2486
出版地	HOBOKEN
WOS关键词	OLD-GROWTH FORESTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; NET PRIMARY ; BIOMASS ; STORAGE ; TEMPERATURE ; DYNAMICS ; STOCKS ; PRECIPITATION
语种	英语
出版者	WILEY
WOS记录号	WOS:000414881000018
资助机构	National Key Research Project of China [2016YFC0500202] ; National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [41571130043, 31290221, 31470506, 31570471] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences Strategic Priority Research Program [XDA05050702] ; Program for Kezhen Distinguished Talents in Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research [2013RC102] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/22039]
专题	植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Vegetat Restorat & Management Degraded Ec, South China Bot Garden, Guangzhou 510650, Guangdong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	He, Nianpeng,Wen, Ding,Zhu, Jianxing,et al. Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(4):1575-1584.
APA	He, Nianpeng.,Wen, Ding.,Zhu, Jianxing.,Tang, Xuli.,Xu, Li.,...&Yu, Guirui.(2017).Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(4),1575-1584.
MLA	He, Nianpeng,et al."Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.4(2017):1575-1584.