Temporal and spatial evolution patterns of drought in China over the past 500 years

doi:10.1007/s12517-021-07075-6

	Temporal and spatial evolution patterns of drought in China over the past 500 years
	Wei, Cuixia 2; Guo, Bing 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9; Zang, Wenqian 7; Yang, Fei 2; Lu, Yuefeng 1,2; Zhang, Dafu 2; Wu, Hongwei 1; Zhen, Xiaoyan 8; Xue, Haorun 10; Meng, Chao 5
刊名	ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES
	2021-05-01
卷号	14 期号:9 页码:16
关键词	Drought Gravity model Temporal and spatial evolution Prediction
ISSN号	1866-7511
DOI	10.1007/s12517-021-07075-6
通讯作者	Guo, Bing(guobingjl@163.com) ; Zang, Wenqian(zangwq@radi.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Drought features prominently among natural disasters in Chinese history. Analysing the laws that govern the spatial and temporal evolution of drought could support decision-making for drought prevention and control. However, few studies have investigated the long-term evolution rules of drought events on different spatial and temporal scales. In this paper, the spatio-temporal change patterns of drought in China were analysed with geostatistical methods based on the 1470-2000a drought datasets in China, and then the possible future drought trend was predicted. Results showed that (1) the drought risk in the northern region was the highest during the past 500 years. And the drought intensity index showed an overall increasing trend with a detail pattern of weakening->strengthening-> weakening-> strengthening; (2) the drought condition in the north was severe than that in the south, but the drought trend in the south was significantly aggravated. (3) The drought gravity centres were mainly distributed in the north, but they showed a tendency to move southward. (4) From 1470 to 2000, the study area showed a significant drought enhancement, which was predicted to show an increasing trend of drought after 2000.
资助项目	open fund of the Key Laboratory of National Geographic Census and Monitoring, MNR[2020NGCM02] ; open research fund of the Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences[2019LDE006] ; open fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Natural Resources[KF-2020-05-001] ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Land Use, Ministry of Natural Resources[20201511835] ; open fund of the Key Laboratory for Digital Land and Resources of Jiangxi Province, East China University of Technology[DLLJ202002] ; open foundation of MOE Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems, Lanzhou University ; fundamental research funds for the central universities[lzujbky-2020-kb01] ; University-Industry Collaborative Education Program[201902208005] ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Ecological Environment of Hebei Province[Z202001H] ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Geomatics and Digital Technology of Shandong Province ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Geomatics Technology and Application Key Laboratory of Qinghai Province[QHDX-2019-04]
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; VULNERABILITY ; VEGETATION ; IMPACT
WOS研究方向	Geology
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
WOS记录号	WOS:000681070300003
资助机构	open fund of the Key Laboratory of National Geographic Census and Monitoring, MNR ; open research fund of the Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; open fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Natural Resources ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Land Use, Ministry of Natural Resources ; open fund of the Key Laboratory for Digital Land and Resources of Jiangxi Province, East China University of Technology ; open foundation of MOE Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems, Lanzhou University ; fundamental research funds for the central universities ; University-Industry Collaborative Education Program ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Ecological Environment of Hebei Province ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Geomatics and Digital Technology of Shandong Province ; open fund of the Key Laboratory of Geomatics Technology and Application Key Laboratory of Qinghai Province
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164721]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Guo, Bing; Zang, Wenqian
作者单位	1.Shandong Univ Technol, Sch Civil Architectural Engn, Zibo 255000, Shandong, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Urban Land Resources Monitoring & Simulat, Shenzhen 518000, Peoples R China 4.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Natl Geog Census & Monitoring, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China 5.China Land Survey & Planning Inst, Key Lab Land Use, MNR, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China 6.Geomat Technol & Applicat Key Lab Qinghai Prov, Xining 810001, Peoples R China 7.Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 8.Key Lab Meteorol & Ecol Environm Hebei Prov, Shijiazhuang 050021, Hebei, Peoples R China 9.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing & Digital Earth, Key Lab Digital Earth Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 10.Beijing Univ Posts & Telecommun, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing 100876, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wei, Cuixia,Guo, Bing,Zang, Wenqian,et al. Temporal and spatial evolution patterns of drought in China over the past 500 years[J]. ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES,2021,14(9):16.
APA	Wei, Cuixia.,Guo, Bing.,Zang, Wenqian.,Yang, Fei.,Lu, Yuefeng.,...&Zhang, Rui.(2021).Temporal and spatial evolution patterns of drought in China over the past 500 years.ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES,14(9),16.
MLA	Wei, Cuixia,et al."Temporal and spatial evolution patterns of drought in China over the past 500 years".ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES 14.9(2021):16.