Evolution Analysis of Societal Risk Events by Risk Maps

doi:10.1007/s11518-020-5458-0

CORC > 数学与系统科学研究院 > 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 > 系统科学研究所

	Evolution Analysis of Societal Risk Events by Risk Maps
	Xu, Nuo 2,3; Tang, Xijin 1,4
刊名	JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
	2020-07-27
页码	14
关键词	Risk maps evolution analysis Baidu hot news search words societal risk events
ISSN号	1004-3756
DOI	10.1007/s11518-020-5458-0
英文摘要	Event evolution analysis which provides an effective approach to capture the main context of a story from explosive increased news texts has become the critical basis for many real applications, such as crisis and emergency management and decision making. Especially, the development of societal risk events which may cause some possible harm to society or individuals has been heavily concerned by both the government and the public. In order to capture the evolution and trends of societal risk events, this paper presents an improved algorithm based on the method of information maps. It contains an event-level cluster generation algorithm and an evaluation algorithm. The main work includes: 1) Word embedding representation is adopted and event-level clusters are chosen as nodes of the events evolution chains which may comprehensively present the underlying structure of events. Meanwhile, clusters that consist of risk-labeled events enable to illustrate how events evolve along the time with transitions of risks. 2) One real-world case, the event of "Chinese Red Cross", is studied and a series of experiments are conducted. 3) An evaluation algorithm is proposed on the basis of indicators of map construction without massive human-annotated dataset. Our approach for event evolution analysis automatically generates a visual evolution of societal risk events, displaying a clear and structural picture of events development.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFB1000902] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71731002] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71971190] ; Be.ing Postdoctoral Research Foundation[ZZ2019-92]
WOS研究方向	Operations Research & Management Science
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
WOS记录号	WOS:000552930300001
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/51921]
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Tang, Xijin
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China 2.Peking Univ, Wangxuan Inst Comp Technol, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China 3.Peking Univ Founder Grp Co Ltd, State Key Lab Digital Publishing Technol, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu, Nuo,Tang, Xijin. Evolution Analysis of Societal Risk Events by Risk Maps[J]. JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING,2020:14.
APA	Xu, Nuo,&Tang, Xijin.(2020).Evolution Analysis of Societal Risk Events by Risk Maps.JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING,14.
MLA	Xu, Nuo,et al."Evolution Analysis of Societal Risk Events by Risk Maps".JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING (2020):14.