Risk Analysis of Vehicle Rear-End Collisions at Intersections
Dong, Sheng1; Zhang, Minjie1; Li, Zhenjiang2
刊名JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION
2020-07-01
卷号2020页码:11
ISSN号0197-6729
DOI10.1155/2020/2793150
通讯作者Dong, Sheng(dongsheng@nbut.edu.cn)
英文摘要Aiming at solving a typical problem of past research using accident experience statistics of being unable to adapt to changing traffic flows, this paper provides an evaluation method of the risk of vehicle rear-end collisions at red-light-camera (RLC) intersections based on theoretical probabilities. Taking advantage of trajectory data of vehicles at the two similar intersections, which are Cao'an Road and Lvyuan Road with RLCs and Cao'an Road and Anhong Road without RLCs in Shanghai, a binary logit (BL) model of stop-and-go decision-making is established. Using the model and adjusting the headway and potential travel time, we can perform simulation and analysis of rear-end collisions. The result shows that this method is feasible to analyse the influence of RLCs on rear-end collisions. The analysis indicates that RLCs can cause higher speeds for vehicles passing the RLC intersection and more abnormal driving behaviors, which increase the difficulty of stop-and-go decision-making. RLCs do not always lead to an increase of rear-end collisions. For vehicles close to or far from intersection at the decision-making time, RLCs will significantly reduce the possibility of rear-end collisions; however, for vehicles in the potential travel time of 2 s similar to 3 s, RLCs will increase the probability of rear-end collisions.
资助项目Public Technology Research Program of Zhejiang Province[LGF20F030004] ; Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo Municipality[2019A610044] ; Opening Foundation of the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems[20190102]
WOS关键词LIGHT ; MODEL
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Transportation
语种英语
出版者WILEY-HINDAWI
WOS记录号WOS:000553453800005
资助机构Public Technology Research Program of Zhejiang Province ; Natural Science Foundation of Ningbo Municipality ; Opening Foundation of the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/40292]  
专题自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_先进控制与自动化团队
通讯作者Dong, Sheng
作者单位1.Ningbo Univ Technol, Sch Civil & Transportat Engn, Fenghua Rd 201, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Inst Automat, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dong, Sheng,Zhang, Minjie,Li, Zhenjiang. Risk Analysis of Vehicle Rear-End Collisions at Intersections[J]. JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION,2020,2020:11.
APA Dong, Sheng,Zhang, Minjie,&Li, Zhenjiang.(2020).Risk Analysis of Vehicle Rear-End Collisions at Intersections.JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION,2020,11.
MLA Dong, Sheng,et al."Risk Analysis of Vehicle Rear-End Collisions at Intersections".JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION 2020(2020):11.
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