Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production-A case study in Hulun Buir, China

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120752

	Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production-A case study in Hulun Buir, China
	Zhao, Zhe 5; Wang, Pei 1; Chen, Jiancheng 2; Zhang, Fan 3,4
刊名	TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
	2021-07-01
卷号	168 页码:8
关键词	Grass-based livestock husbandry Economic spillover effect ORANI-G model Hulun Buir
ISSN号	0040-1625
DOI	10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120752
通讯作者	Wang, Pei(wangpei@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	As an important part of agriculture, the changes of grass-based livestock husbandry (GBLH) production will inevitably have a significant impact on agricultural sectors and regional economy. We firstly measured the total factor productivity (TFP) of GBLH from 2001 to 2016 by DEA-Malmquist model. Secondly, an ORANI-G model was constructed based on IO table to analyze the economic spillover effect of GBLH on agricultural production in Hulun Buir. The results indicate that the TFP shows an upward trend with an average annual growth rate at only 1%. The TFP increase leads to a significant growth of GDP, export and import (0.07%, 0.11%, 0.02%), improving technical efficiency can further enhance these impacts, while they weakens if it was decreasing. Moreover, the increase of efficiency leads to a growth of output of agricultural products, especially livestock products. The supply and transfer out of livestock products can reach a 3.27% and 6.59% improvement respectively. Additionally, the increase of livestock production and the decrease of price will inevitable lead to a growth on demand, and improving the efficiency can gain more labor employment. In a long term, the increasing efficiency of GBLH is also an adaptation measure to realize win-win for both ecological and economic benefit.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602500] ; Youth Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China[72004096]
WOS关键词	CGE MODEL ; CARBON TAX ; EFFICIENCY ; IMPACT ; CONSUMPTION ; EMISSIONS ; GROWTH
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Public Administration
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
WOS记录号	WOS:000648648100009
资助机构	National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Youth Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/162505]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Wang, Pei
作者单位	1.Nanjing Agr Univ, Coll Publ Adm, Nanjing 210095, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 5.Liaoning Univ, Sch Econ, Shenyang 110136, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhao, Zhe,Wang, Pei,Chen, Jiancheng,et al. Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production-A case study in Hulun Buir, China[J]. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,2021,168:8.
APA	Zhao, Zhe,Wang, Pei,Chen, Jiancheng,&Zhang, Fan.(2021).Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production-A case study in Hulun Buir, China.TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,168,8.
MLA	Zhao, Zhe,et al."Economic spillover effect of grass-based livestock husbandry on agricultural production-A case study in Hulun Buir, China".TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE 168(2021):8.