Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region-A Case Study in Xi'an City Based on FLUS Model

doi:10.3390/land10030286

	Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region-A Case Study in Xi'an City Based on FLUS Model
	Feng, Dingrao 1; Bao, Wenkai 2; Fu, Meichen 1,3; Zhang, Min 1; Sun, Yiyu 4
刊名	LAND
	2021-03-01
卷号	10 期号:3 页码:25
关键词	land use change FLUS model complex network model simulation
DOI	10.3390/land10030286
通讯作者	Fu, Meichen(fumeichen@cugb.edu.cn)
英文摘要	Land use change plays a key role in terrestrial systems and drives the process of ecological pattern change. It is important to investigate the process of land use change, predict land use patterns, and reveal the characteristics of land use dynamics. In this study, we adopted the Markov model and future land use (FLUS) model to predict the future land use conditions in Xi'an city. Furthermore, we investigated the characteristics of land use change from a novel perspective, i.e., via establishment of a complex network model. This model captured the characteristics of the land use system during different periods. The results indicated that urban expansion and cropland loss played an important role in land use pattern change. The future gravity center of urban development moved along the opposite direction to that from 2000 to 2015 in Xi'an city. Although the rate of urban expansion declined in the future, urban expansion remained the primary driver of land use change. The primary urban development directions were east-southeast (ENE), north-northeast (NNE) and west-southwest (WSW) from 1990 to 2000, 2000 to 2015, and 2015 to 2030, respectively. In fact, cropland played a vital role in land use dynamics regarding all land use types, and the stability of the land use system decreased in the future. Our study provides future land use patterns and a novel perspective to better understand land use change.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771204]
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	MDPI
WOS记录号	WOS:000633840000001
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/162080]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Fu, Meichen
作者单位	1.China Univ Geosci Beijing, Sch Land Sci & Technol, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Minist Nat Resources Peoples Republ China, Key Lab Land Consolidat & Land Rehabil, Beijing 100035, Peoples R China 4.Peking Univ, Sch Urban Planning & Design, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Feng, Dingrao,Bao, Wenkai,Fu, Meichen,et al. Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region-A Case Study in Xi'an City Based on FLUS Model[J]. LAND,2021,10(3):25.
APA	Feng, Dingrao,Bao, Wenkai,Fu, Meichen,Zhang, Min,&Sun, Yiyu.(2021).Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region-A Case Study in Xi'an City Based on FLUS Model.LAND,10(3),25.
MLA	Feng, Dingrao,et al."Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region-A Case Study in Xi'an City Based on FLUS Model".LAND 10.3(2021):25.