Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia

doi:10.1007/s11442-020-1814-8

	Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia
	Zhou Yannan 1,2,3; Yang Yu 1,2,3; Song Zhouying 1,3; He Ze 1,2,3; Xia Siyou 1,2,3; Ren Yawen 1,2,3
刊名	JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
	2020-11-01
卷号	30 期号:11 页码:1825-1848
关键词	energy development urbanization dynamic transition mechanism PSTR model Central Asia
ISSN号	1009-637X
DOI	10.1007/s11442-020-1814-8
通讯作者	Song Zhouying(songzy@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Energy development has a significant impact on urbanization. This study employs the entropy method to evaluate the level of urbanization in Central Asia and further analyzes the possible dynamic transition mechanisms of the impact of energy development (characterized by energy development scale, energy trade, energy consumption, and energy endowment) on urbanization using the Panel Smooth Transition Regression model (PSTR). The results demonstrate that energy development in this region is characterized by "three highs and one low", namely, high production volume, high export volume, high endowment, and low self-consumption, and plays a crucial role in the progress of urbanization. A nonlinear relationship is found to exist between energy development and comprehensive urbanization in the transition economies of Central Asia. Generally speaking, as energy development continues to expand, its impact on urbanization in this region has shifted from constraint to promotion, with the latter gradually tending to flatten out. Energy development characterized by energy development scale, energy consumption, and energy trade can prove the point, whose threshold is 1.47 million tons oil equivalent (Mtoe), 0.29 tons oil equivalent (toe) per capita, and 20.95 Mtoe, respectively. However, not all energy development models exhibit this behavior. Energy development characterized by energy endowment is such a case where the positive effect of it on comprehensive urbanization will be restrained when it exceeds 3.18. These findings can aid decision makers in seeking a better energy development model to promote the sustainable development of urbanization in Central Asia, avoiding energy resources waste and disorderly development.
资助项目	Strategic Priority Research of the CAS[XDA20040400] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41871118] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42022007]
WOS关键词	CO2 EMISSIONS ; CHINA ; CONSUMPTION ; COUNTRIES ; TRENDS ; INFRASTRUCTURE ; ENVIRONMENT ; RESOURCES ; STRATEGY ; GROWTH
WOS研究方向	Physical Geography
语种	英语
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号	WOS:000601562200006
资助机构	Strategic Priority Research of the CAS ; National Natural Science Foundation of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/137739]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Song Zhouying
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Inst Strategy Res Guangdong Hong Kong Macao Great, Guangzhou 510070, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhou Yannan,Yang Yu,Song Zhouying,et al. Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2020,30(11):1825-1848.
APA	Zhou Yannan,Yang Yu,Song Zhouying,He Ze,Xia Siyou,&Ren Yawen.(2020).Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,30(11),1825-1848.
MLA	Zhou Yannan,et al."Dynamic transition mechanism analysis of the impact of energy development on urbanization in Central Asia".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 30.11(2020):1825-1848.