Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125406

	Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries
	Li, Zhihui 1,2,3; Deng, Xiangzheng 1,2,3; Zhang, Yue 4,5
刊名	JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
	2021-02-01
卷号	282 页码:9
关键词	Socio-economic vulnerability Convergence analysis Data envelopment analysis Theil index BRI countries
ISSN号	0959-6526
DOI	10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125406
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng(dengxz@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Reducing vulnerability and strengthening resilience are vital to achieve the sustainable development goals. Identification of socio-economic vulnerability has been a key step for problem identification and solution framing. Using the official data of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries from year 2000 to year 2015, the Data Envelopment Analysis model was applied to evaluate the socio-economic vulnerability of the countries. Subsequently the convergence characteristics of socio-economic vulnerability between the countries were examined using Theil index method. The results showed that the average socio-economic vulnerability of the BRI countries had a decreasing trend, from 0.319 to 0.141, with fluctuations between 2000 and 2015. The South Asia and East Asia-Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) were high vulnerability zones as they experienced frequent natural hazards with high population densities. The Theil indices indicated that overall disparities in the BRI countries' vulnerability were high with values around 0.575-0.757and did not show obvious convergence trend, even though the disparities in vulnerability scores of the South Asia and East Asia-ASEAN zones were relatively lower. In addition, intra-group disparities constituted about 71.34% of the total disparities, which were the primary cause of the overall disparity in the BRI region, indicating that different levels of socio-economic vulnerability between countries in the same zone was a concern. Proper management and decision making are proposed, especially in the South Asia and East Asia-ASEAN zones, to reduce socioeconomic vulnerability in order to better resist natural hazards. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
资助项目	Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20010302]
WOS关键词	CHINA BELT ; COMMUNITIES ; EFFICIENCY ; IMPACT ; FLOOD ; RIVER ; RISK
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000608119700011
资助机构	Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/136380]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Capital Normal Univ, Coll Resource Environm & Tourism, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China 5.Capital Normal Univ, State Key Lab Incubat Base Urban Environm Proc, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Zhihui,Deng, Xiangzheng,Zhang, Yue. Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2021,282:9.
APA	Li, Zhihui,Deng, Xiangzheng,&Zhang, Yue.(2021).Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,282,9.
MLA	Li, Zhihui,et al."Evaluation and convergence analysis of socio-economic vulnerability to natural hazards of Belt and Road Initiative countries".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 282(2021):9.