Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage

doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.102135

	Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage
	Yang, Hang 1,2,3; Huang, Junlong 1,4; Liu, Dianfeng 1
刊名	APPLIED GEOGRAPHY
	2020-02-01
卷号	115 页码:12
关键词	Carbon storage Urban land use Climate change RCP SSP
ISSN号	0143-6228
DOI	10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.102135
通讯作者	Liu, Dianfeng(liudianfeng@whu.edu.cn)
英文摘要	Land use/cover change (LUCC) in the context of rapid urbanization process has exerted profound influences on carbon storage and ecosystem functions. Exploring the relationships between various urbanization patterns and carbon storage is conductive to developing scientific carbon storage polices. This study incorporated climate change and socioeconomic development into the urbanization process, and designed six future urbanization scenarios based on the combination of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). A hierarchical framework that integrates system dynamic, land-use simulation and carbon storage evaluation models was proposed to predict urban land use change under six concurrent scenarios of climate and socioeconomic conditions, and examine their synergic effects on carbon storage. Hubei Province, a rapidly urbanized area in central China, was selected as a case study. The results show that the decline of carbon storage from 2015 to 2030 ranges from 16.40 Tg to 24.22 Tg under different scenarios, and the scenario featuring steady climate conditions, low population growth, moderate economic growth and high-quality urbanization (e. g., technology innovation) will better maintain carbon storage. Our findings also demonstrate the spatially heterogeneous patterns of carbon storage change at regional scale, and more severe carbon storage loss in the medium-sized cities than the metropolis. This study suggests that targeted ecological conservation strategies should be developed for different cities.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41771429] ; Chinese Scholarship Council
WOS关键词	CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT ; SCENARIO FRAMEWORK ; POTENTIAL IMPACTS ; PLANNING POLICIES ; USE DYNAMICS ; COVER CHANGE ; CLUE-S
WOS研究方向	Geography
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000512307200002
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Scholarship Council
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/132389]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Liu, Dianfeng
作者单位	1.Wuhan Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Sci, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 4.Univ Toronto, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Toronto, ON M5S 3B2, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yang, Hang,Huang, Junlong,Liu, Dianfeng. Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage[J]. APPLIED GEOGRAPHY,2020,115:12.
APA	Yang, Hang,Huang, Junlong,&Liu, Dianfeng.(2020).Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage.APPLIED GEOGRAPHY,115,12.
MLA	Yang, Hang,et al."Linking climate change and socioeconomic development to urban land use simulation: Analysis of their concurrent effects on carbon storage".APPLIED GEOGRAPHY 115(2020):12.