Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China

doi:10.3390/atmos10100567

	Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China
	Guo, Yahui 3,4,5; Wu, Wenxiang 3,5; Du, Mingzhu 6; Liu, Xiaoxuan 7,8; Wang, Jingzhe 9; Bryant, Christopher Robin 1,2
刊名	ATMOSPHERE
	2019-10-01
卷号	10 期号:10 页码:26
关键词	adaptive measures climatic change CO2 fertilization effect Guangdong Province Ceres-Rice Model rice production
DOI	10.3390/atmos10100567
通讯作者	Wu, Wenxiang(wuwenxiang2018@163.com)
英文摘要	In this study, the potential climate change impacts on rice growth and rice yield under 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios, respectively, are simulated using the Ceres-Rice Model based on high-quality, agricultural, experimental, meteorological and soil data, and the incorporation of future climate data generated by four Global Climate Models (GCMs) in the Pearl River Delta, China. The climatic data is extracted from four Global Climate Models (GCMs) namely: The Community Atmosphere Model 4 (CAM4), The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts-Hamburg 6 (ECHAM6), Model for Interdisciplinary Research On Climate 5 (MIROC5) and the Norwegian Earth System Model 1 (NorESM1). The modeling results show that climate change has major negative impacts on both rice growth and rice yields at all study sites. More specifically, the average of flowering durations decreases by 2.8 days (3.9 days), and the maturity date decreases by 11.0 days (14.7 days) under the 1.5 degrees C and (2.0 degrees C) warming scenarios, respectively. The yield for early mature rice and late mature rice are reduced by 292.5 kg/ha (558.9 kg/ha) and 151.8 kg/ha (380.0 kg/ha) under the 1.5 degrees C (2.0 degrees C) warming scenarios, respectively. Adjusting the planting dates of eight days later and 15 days earlier for early mature rice and late mature rice are simulated to be adaptively effective, respectively. The simulated optimum fertilizer amount is about 240 kg/ha, with different industrial fertilizer and organic matter being applied.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602402] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040101] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19040304]
WOS关键词	MEAN TEMPERATURE INCREASE ; CERES-RICE ; CROP YIELD ; MAJOR CROPS ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; NITROGEN ; MANAGEMENT ; MAIZE ; VARIABILITY ; ADAPTATION
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
出版者	MDPI
WOS记录号	WOS:000498267500005
资助机构	National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/130416]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Wu, Wenxiang
作者单位	1.Univ Guelph, Sch Environm Design & Rural Dev, Guelph, ON N1G 2W5, Canada 2.Univ Montreal, Geog, Montreal, PQ H2V 2B8, Canada 3.Univ Sanya, Academician Workstn Zhai Mingguo, Sanya 572000, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing Key Lab Urban Hydrol Cycle & Sponge City, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Agr Sci, Agr Informat Inst, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 7.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Key Lab Earth Syst Modeling, Minist Educ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China 8.Joint Ctr Global Change Studies, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 9.Guangdong Inst Ecoenvironm Sci & Technol, Guangdong Key Lab Integrated Agroenvironm Pollut, Guangzhou 510650, Guangdong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo, Yahui,Wu, Wenxiang,Du, Mingzhu,et al. Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2019,10(10):26.
APA	Guo, Yahui,Wu, Wenxiang,Du, Mingzhu,Liu, Xiaoxuan,Wang, Jingzhe,&Bryant, Christopher Robin.(2019).Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China.ATMOSPHERE,10(10),26.
MLA	Guo, Yahui,et al."Modeling Climate Change Impacts on Rice Growth and Yield under Global Warming of 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C in the Pearl River Delta, China".ATMOSPHERE 10.10(2019):26.