Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation

CORC > 新疆生态与地理研究所 > 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 > 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据)

	Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation
	Li ; Y. P. ; Huang ; G. H. ; Chen ; X.
刊名	STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT
	2009
卷号	23 期号:6 页码:781-792
关键词	MANAGEMENT MODEL LINEAR-PROGRAMS OPTIMIZATION UNCERTAINTY RESERVOIR OPERATION SYSTEMS RISK
ISSN号	1436-3240
通讯作者	Li, YP, Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
中文摘要	In this study, a multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming (MSISP) method is developed for water-resources allocation under uncertainty. MSISP improves upon the existing multistage optimization methods with advantages in uncertainty reflection, dynamics facilitation, and risk analysis. It can directly handle uncertainties presented as both interval numbers and probability distributions, and can support the assessment of the reliability of satisfying (or the risk of violating) system constraints within a multistage context. It can also reflect the dynamics of system uncertainties and decision processes under a representative set of scenarios. The developed MSISP method is then applied to a case of water resources management planning within a multi-reservoir system associated with joint probabilities. A range of violation levels for capacity and environment constraints are analyzed under uncertainty. Solutions associated different risk levels of constraint violation have been obtained. They can be used for generating decision alternatives and thus help water managers to identify desired policies under various economic, environmental and system-reliability conditions. Besides, sensitivity analyses demonstrate that the violation of the environmental constraint has a significant effect on the system benefit.
学科主题	区域发展
收录类别	SCI
公开日期	2011-08-19
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/10100]
专题	新疆生态与地理研究所_中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li,Y. P.,Huang,et al. Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation[J]. STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT,2009,23(6):781-792.
APA	Li,Y. P.,Huang,G. H.,Chen,&X..(2009).Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation.STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT,23(6),781-792.
MLA	Li,et al."Multistage scenario-based interval-stochastic programming for planning water resources allocation".STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT 23.6(2009):781-792.