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	Cities evolution tree and applications to predicting urban growth
	Wang J. F. ; Liu X. H. ; Peng L. ; Chen H. Y. ; Driskell L. ; Zheng X. Y.
	2012
关键词	Urbanization Evolution tree Cluster analysis Markov chain Land use China Demography human-population land china
英文摘要	China's unprecedented urbanization and economic modernization have brought about significant growth and land use changes in cities and their surroundings. Traditional analyses of the relationship between urbanization and land use change have not fully incorporated important factors like city function or developmental stage. We define and apply a new visualization and analysis tool-an evolution tree-showing how an understanding of evolutionary pathways taken by growing cities contributes to visualization and forecasting of urban development and spatial expansion. We clustered 253 Chinese cities by type and developmental stage, arranging them in a "tree" structure, with types grouped as branches and leaf position along branches reflecting developmental stage. Urban growth rates are higher for business-oriented, manufacturing-oriented, and functionally comprehensive cities than for those oriented toward tourism. Extent of spatial growth is dominated by city type and developmental stage. Cities evolve along typical pathways, punctuated by occasional leap developments across functional types.
出处	Population and Environment
卷	33
期	2-3
页	186-201
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
ISSN号	0199-0039
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/26778]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang J. F.,Liu X. H.,Peng L.,et al. Cities evolution tree and applications to predicting urban growth. 2012.

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