Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming

doi:10.1038/NGEO2009

	Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming
	Cai, Wenju 1,2; Zheng, Xiao-Tong 2,3; Weller, Evan 1; Collins, Mat 4; Cowan, Tim 1; Lengaigne, Matthieu 5; Yu, Weidong 6; Yamagata, Toshio 7
刊名	NATURE GEOSCIENCE
	2013-12
卷号	6 期号:12 页码:999-1007
ISSN号	1752-0894
DOI	10.1038/NGEO2009
英文摘要	Natural modes of variability centred in the tropics, such as the El Nino/Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole, are a significant source of interannual climate variability across the globe. Future climate warming could alter these modes of variability. For example, with the warming projected for the end of the twenty-first century, the mean climate of the tropical Indian Ocean is expected to change considerably. These changes have the potential to affect the Indian Ocean Dipole, currently characterized by an alternation of anomalous cooling in the eastern tropical Indian Ocean and warming in the west in a positive dipole event, and the reverse pattern for negative events. The amplitude of positive events is generally greater than that of negative events. Mean climate warming in austral spring is expected to lead to stronger easterly winds just south of the Equator, faster warming of sea surface temperatures in the western Indian Ocean compared with the eastern basin, and a shoaling equatorial thermocline. The mean climate conditions that result from these changes more closely resemble a positive dipole state. However, defined relative to the mean state at any given time, the overall frequency of events is not projected to change - but we expect a reduction in the difference in amplitude between positive and negative dipole events.
资助项目	Natural Environment Research Council[NE/I022841/1]
WOS研究方向	Geology
语种	英语
出版者	NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
WOS记录号	WOS:000327799500010
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.fio.com.cn/handle/2SI8HI0U/3905]
专题	自然资源部第一海洋研究所
作者单位	1.CSIRO Marine & Atmospher Res, Aspendale, Vic, Australia; 2.Ocean Univ China, Qingdao Collaborat Innovat Ctr Marine Sci & Techn, Phys Oceanog Lab, Qingdao, Peoples R China; 3.Ocean Univ China, Key Lab Ocean Atmosphere Interact & Climate Univ, Qingdao, Peoples R China; 4.Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England; 5.IRD UPMC CNRS MNHN, LOCEAN, Paris, France; 6.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanol 1, Qingdao, Peoples R China; 7.JAMSTEC, Applicat Lab, Kanazawa Ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 2360001, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cai, Wenju,Zheng, Xiao-Tong,Weller, Evan,et al. Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming[J]. NATURE GEOSCIENCE,2013,6(12):999-1007.
APA	Cai, Wenju.,Zheng, Xiao-Tong.,Weller, Evan.,Collins, Mat.,Cowan, Tim.,...&Yamagata, Toshio.(2013).Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming.NATURE GEOSCIENCE,6(12),999-1007.
MLA	Cai, Wenju,et al."Projected response of the Indian Ocean Dipole to greenhouse warming".NATURE GEOSCIENCE 6.12(2013):999-1007.