Periodic changes of stream flow in the last 40 years in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China

CORC > 新疆生态与地理研究所 > 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 > 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据)

	Periodic changes of stream flow in the last 40 years in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China
	Chen ; Yaning ; Pang ; Zhonghe ; Hao ; Xingming ; Xu ; Changchun ; Yapeng
刊名	HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
	2008
卷号	22 期号:21 页码:4214-4221
关键词	HYDROLOGICAL SERIES SOUTHEAST-ASIA CLIMATE-CHANGE DETECT TREND OSCILLATION
ISSN号	0885-6087
通讯作者	Pang, ZH, Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
中文摘要	Using the annual runoff series for the last 40 years from the Tarim River Basin, their periodic properties were analysed and their future trends predicted. Runoff data were collected at five hydrological gauging stations in the three main branches of the Tarim River. An extrapolation method and variance analysis were used to identify periods in annual runoff and a trend superposition model to predict future changes. Results show that, there is a common period of 17 years in annual runoff changes for all three branches, with Hotan River showing an additional period of 10 years. Based on this trend, it is suggested that the annual runoff of the Tarim River should decrease in the period of 2006-2008, but increase ill year 2009. a and the How may possibly begin to decrease significantly in veal 2010. The long term trend of runoff In Tarim Basin has followed the global prediction of GCMs, i.e. began to increase in accordance with global increase of air temperature and precipitation in 1990. However, it has shown a local feature of uneven changes among, the head streams in the same basin, which needs to be further investigated. Copyright (c) 2008 John Wiley & Sons. Ltd.
学科主题	水文地理学及水资源
收录类别	SCI
公开日期	2011-08-19
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.xjlas.org/handle/365004/10220]
专题	新疆生态与地理研究所_中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所(2010年以前数据)
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chen,Yaning,Pang,et al. Periodic changes of stream flow in the last 40 years in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2008,22(21):4214-4221.
APA	Chen.,Yaning.,Pang.,Zhonghe.,Hao.,...&Yapeng.(2008).Periodic changes of stream flow in the last 40 years in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,22(21),4214-4221.
MLA	Chen,et al."Periodic changes of stream flow in the last 40 years in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 22.21(2008):4214-4221.