The impact of land use change on water balance in Zhangye city, China | |
Sun, Zhongxiao1; Wu, Feng2; Shi, Chenchen1; Zhan, Jinyan1 | |
刊名 | PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH |
2016 | |
卷号 | 96页码:64-73 |
关键词 | Land use change Water balance CGE model Zhangye city |
ISSN号 | 1474-7065 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.pce.2016.06.004 |
通讯作者 | Zhan, Jinyan(zhanjy@bnu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Land use change has a significant effect on water balance, especially in arid region, such as Northwest China. In this paper, we analyze the effect of land use change on water balance in terms of the amount of water supply and demand from economic perspective. It's the first time to extend the basic 48 sectors input-output table to include water and land accounts that involved into multiple production processes for Zhangye city. We then perform the improved ORANI-G model, a single region Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, to analyze the effect of land use change on water balance under three scenarios. Subsequently, scenario-based simulation results are interpreted through selected sectors from agricultural, industrial, and service sectors respectively. Finally, the effect of land use change on.water balance is analyzed through the difference between business-as-usual and land use unchanged scenarios. the results show that the extent of effect on water balance is different among sectors. Specifically, from the perspective of absolute value, service sectors are the largest, followed by industrial sectors, and the agricultural sectors are the least. Conversely, in terms of percentage change of land use, the largest extent of effect occurs in agricultural sectors. Additionally, with the rapid urbanization and the development of social economy, water balance in industrial sectors and service sectors will be stricken and reconstructed to a new high level. Simulation results also show that agricultural land shrinking will mitigate water scarcity distinctly, which indicates that balance the relationship among different stakeholders is imperative to guarantee water transformation from agricultural sectors to industrial and service sectors. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[91325302] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[91325303] ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar[71225005] |
WOS关键词 | HEIHE RIVER-BASIN ; NORTHWEST CHINA ; SURFACE RUNOFF ; COVER CHANGE ; DEMAND ; SUSTAINABILITY ; CONSUMPTION ; DEBATE ; REGION ; FOREST |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000390518300009 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; China National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholar |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65324] |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Zhan, Jinyan |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Lab Water Environm Simulat, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Zhongxiao,Wu, Feng,Shi, Chenchen,et al. The impact of land use change on water balance in Zhangye city, China[J]. PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH,2016,96:64-73. |
APA | Sun, Zhongxiao,Wu, Feng,Shi, Chenchen,&Zhan, Jinyan.(2016).The impact of land use change on water balance in Zhangye city, China.PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH,96,64-73. |
MLA | Sun, Zhongxiao,et al."The impact of land use change on water balance in Zhangye city, China".PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH 96(2016):64-73. |
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