Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model

doi:10.3390/su8100965

	Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model
	Li, Fangzheng 1,2; Sun, Yinan 1,2; Li, Xiong 1,2; Hao, Xinhua 3; Li, Wanyi 1,2; Qian, Yun 1,2; Liu, Haimeng 4; Sun, Haiyan 1
刊名	SUSTAINABILITY
	2016-10-01
卷号	8 期号:10 页码:17
关键词	Beijing forecast policy formulation scenario simulation sustainable development of green space system dynamics model
ISSN号	2071-1050
DOI	10.3390/su8100965
通讯作者	Li, Xiong()
英文摘要	Greater contradiction and conflict among urban green space, the development of social economy and the environment have occurred in Beijing. However, few studies have been conducted that consider the three subsystems as a whole. In this study, we defined sustainable development of green space (SDGS) as the coordinated development of the urban green system, social economy, and environment. Based on the datasets from 2000 to 2015, we forecast the SDGS in Beijing under multiple scenarios based on real-world policies using a system dynamics model. We found that the historical SDGS value increased to its highest level in 2012, but declined slightly by 2015. Second, the forecasted SDGS values declined over time in all scenarios, but the decline was greater in scenarios placing a high priority on economic development. In these scenarios, the performance of the indices only improved in certain subsystems. The simulation shows the implementation of the four policies proposed by the government failed to improve the overall level of SDGS in Beijing. This study could provide support for decision-making designed to improve the overall condition of urban green space in Beijing through integrated forecast and scenario simulation.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[51308044] ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project
WOS关键词	ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS ; URBAN AIR-QUALITY ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; CHINA ; LANDSCAPE ; SECURITY ; WATER ; AREA ; INFRASTRUCTURE ; SIMULATION
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	MDPI AG
WOS记录号	WOS:000389314600005
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Beijing Laboratory of Urban and Rural Ecological Environment - Special Found for the Beijing Common Construction Project
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/65252]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Li, Xiong
作者单位	1.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Landscape Architecture, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Lab Urban & Rural Ecol Environm, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Tsinghua Tongheng Urban Planning & Design, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Fangzheng,Sun, Yinan,Li, Xiong,et al. Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2016,8(10):17.
APA	Li, Fangzheng.,Sun, Yinan.,Li, Xiong.,Hao, Xinhua.,Li, Wanyi.,...&Sun, Haiyan.(2016).Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model.SUSTAINABILITY,8(10),17.
MLA	Li, Fangzheng,et al."Research on the Sustainable Development of Green-Space in Beijing Using the Dynamic Systems Model".SUSTAINABILITY 8.10(2016):17.