Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria

doi:10.1007/s10113-017-1186-5

	Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria
	Arowolo, Aisha Olushola 1,2,3; Deng, Xiangzheng 1
刊名	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
	2018
卷号	18 期号:1 页码:247-259
关键词	Cultivated land expansion Land use intensity Logistic regression Determinants Nigeria
ISSN号	1436-3798
DOI	10.1007/s10113-017-1186-5
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng(dengxz.ccap@gmail.com)
英文摘要	In recent decades, human activities have significantly influenced land use/land cover. Identifying pattern changes in regional land use/land cover and their drivers is crucial for land use planning and management decision making. This study aims to (1) describe land use/land cover changes that have taken place in Nigeria in the study period of 10 years (2000-2010), (2) determine the factors that drive those changes with emphasis on transition to cultivated land use and (3) examine the spatiotemporal intensity of land use. The study utilized the GlobeLand30 land cover datasets produced by the National Geomatics Center of China. We used the spatial calculating analysis model to analyse land use/land cover change, logistic regression to model drivers of cultivated land expansion and land use intensity comprehensive index model to examine the intensity of land use. Our results revealed that (1) conversions to cultivated land dominate the land use/land cover change processes and expansion was largely at the detriment of the grassland, shrubland and forests; (2) biophysical, socio-economic and proximity factors are significant determinants of transition to cultivated land use. Population density is negatively related to cultivated land expansion, which suggests labour scarcity in the agricultural sector that can consequently result into low productivity and (3) significant discrepancies exist in the intensity of land use between the southern and northern regions of the country. Policy measures aimed at improving agricultural productivity remain one of the best ways to reduce pressure on increasingly scarce land resource and conserve natural ecosystems in Nigeria.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602500] ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences[131A11KYSB20130023] ; China Scholarship Council[2015GXYG55]
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; AGRICULTURAL LAND ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; DRIVING FORCES ; USE INTENSITY ; GLOBELAND30 ; DYNAMICS ; CHINA ; DETERMINANTS ; MOUNTAINS
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
WOS记录号	WOS:000419157400019
资助机构	National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Bureau of International Cooperation, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; China Scholarship Council
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/60669]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Deng, Xiangzheng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Ctr Chinese Agr Policy, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Fed Univ Agr Abeokuta FUNAAB, Dept Agr Econ & Farm Management, Abeokuta, Ogun State, Nigeria
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Arowolo, Aisha Olushola,Deng, Xiangzheng. Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria[J]. REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,2018,18(1):247-259.
APA	Arowolo, Aisha Olushola,&Deng, Xiangzheng.(2018).Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,18(1),247-259.
MLA	Arowolo, Aisha Olushola,et al."Land use/land cover change and statistical modelling of cultivated land change drivers in Nigeria".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 18.1(2018):247-259.