Quantitative evaluation of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity

doi:10.1007/s11629-018-5148-2

	Quantitative evaluation of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity
	Wang Liang 1,2,3; Liu Hui 1,2,4
刊名	JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
	2019-07-01
卷号	16 期号:7 页码:1702-1714
关键词	Population limitation Resources carrying capacity Environmental carrying capacity Short board effect Tibet
ISSN号	1672-6316
DOI	10.1007/s11629-018-5148-2
通讯作者	Liu Hui(liuh@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	This study identifies the carrying state and value of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity. A new theoretical framework is proposed for exploring the resource and environmental carrying capacity based on two perspectives of growth limit and stability of Human-Earth relationship system. On this basis, an ideal growth model that accords with the short board effect is established to predict the population limitation. Analytical results show that the holistic state of resource and environmental carrying capacity in Tibet is in jeopardy. From 2010 to 2016, Tibet's carrying state continued to decline, moreover, the negative forces still overwhelm the positive forces. Although the resource reserves still have room for more population, the environmental capacity and ecological capacity have been overloaded. Meanwhile, the Human-Earth relationship system is in an unstable stage. Three scenarios that respond to different socioeconomic developments are implemented to predict the population limitation of resource and environmental carrying capacity in Tibet; thus, authors argue that Tibet should keep its population size within 4 million around 2025. This research will provide reference for sustainable development and resources and environmental conservation in Tibet.
资助项目	Specific Project of National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC0503506] ; Strategy Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20010103]
WOS关键词	POPULATION ; PRODUCTIVITY ; FOOTPRINT ; REGIONS ; SYSTEM ; MODEL
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
WOS记录号	WOS:000474574600017
资助机构	Specific Project of National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Strategy Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/58506]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Liu Hui
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Reg Sustainable Dev Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resource & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang Liang,Liu Hui. Quantitative evaluation of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2019,16(7):1702-1714.
APA	Wang Liang,&Liu Hui.(2019).Quantitative evaluation of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,16(7),1702-1714.
MLA	Wang Liang,et al."Quantitative evaluation of Tibet's resource and environmental carrying capacity".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 16.7(2019):1702-1714.