Biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts across scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Northern Tibet | |
Wang, Jun1; Wang, Yang2; Wang, Shiji3 | |
刊名 | NATURAL HAZARDS |
2016-04-01 | |
卷号 | 81期号:3页码:1499-1514 |
关键词 | Snow hazard impacts Drivers Statistical modeling Herder communities Northern Tibet |
ISSN号 | 0921-030X |
DOI | 10.1007/s11069-015-2142-7 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Yang(wangy8610@gmail.com) |
英文摘要 | Understanding the dynamics of snow hazard impacts on the Tibetan Plateau is significant and prerequisite for decision making in mitigating the negative impacts of snow hazards and facilitating social adaptation to climate variability and change. In this study, we adopted the framework of vulnerability analysis to analyze the drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts indicated by livestock mortality rate in Northern Tibet. We selected Nagqu Prefecture, a remote pastoral area of Northern Tibet, as the case study area to analyze the drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts between 1982 and 2010. We applied panel data models and geographically weighted regressions to diagnose the drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts across two administrative scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Nagqu Prefecture. The results showed that the contributions of biophysical and socioeconomic factors to explaining the annual dynamics of livestock mortality rate varied between Nagqu Prefecture scale and Nagqu County scale. The modeling results using geographically weighted regressions showed that the statistical relationships between livestock mortality rate and various explanatory variables varied across geographic space due to spatial heterogeneity of local grassland social-ecological systems. Insights gained through this study help to improve our understanding of the drivers of snow hazard impacts across different administrative scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Northern Tibet. The findings of this study also have important implications for snow hazard management and building adaptive capacity for future climate change in the pastoral areas of Northern Tibet. |
收录类别 | SCI ; SSCI |
WOS关键词 | PANEL-DATA ; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ADAPTATION ; VULNERABILITY ; VARIABILITY ; PERSPECTIVE ; LIVELIHOODS ; RESILIENCE ; FRAMEWORK |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | SPRINGER |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000372285600006 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
URI标识 | http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2557391 |
专题 | 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所 |
通讯作者 | Wang, Yang |
作者单位 | 1.Peking Univ, Shenzhen Grad Sch, Key Lab Human & Environm Sci & Technol, Shenzhen 518055, Peoples R China 2.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Regions Environm & Engn Res Inst, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Jun,Wang, Yang,Wang, Shiji. Biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts across scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Northern Tibet[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2016,81(3):1499-1514. |
APA | Wang, Jun,Wang, Yang,&Wang, Shiji.(2016).Biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts across scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Northern Tibet.NATURAL HAZARDS,81(3),1499-1514. |
MLA | Wang, Jun,et al."Biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of the dynamics in snow hazard impacts across scales and over heterogeneous landscape in Northern Tibet".NATURAL HAZARDS 81.3(2016):1499-1514. |
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