Visualizing the Interconnections Among Climate Risks

doi:10.1029/2018EF000945

	Visualizing the Interconnections Among Climate Risks
	Yokohata, T.1; Tanaka, K.1; Nishina, K.2; Takahashi, K.3; Emori, S.1; Kiguchi, M.4; Iseri, Y.5; Honda, Y.6; Okada, M.3; Masaki, Y.7
刊名	EARTHS FUTURE
	2019-02-01
卷号	7 期号:2 页码:85-100
ISSN号	2328-4277
DOI	10.1029/2018EF000945
通讯作者	Yokohata, T.(yokohata@nies.go.jp)
英文摘要	It is now widely recognized that climate change affects multiple sectors in virtually every part of the world. Impacts on one sector may influence other sectors, including seemingly remote ones, which we call "interconnections of climate risks." While a substantial number of climate risks are identified in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report, there have been few attempts to explore the interconnections between them in a comprehensive way. To fill this gap, we developed a methodology for visualizing climate risks and their interconnections based on a literature survey. Our visualizations highlight the need to address climate risk interconnections in impact and vulnerability studies. Our risk maps and flowcharts show how changes in climate impact natural and socioeconomic systems, ultimately affecting human security, health, and well-being. We tested our visualization approach with potential users and identified likely benefits and issues. Our methodology can be used as a communication tool to inform decision makers, stakeholders, and the general public of the cascading risks that can be triggered by climate change. Plain Language Summary The paper demonstrates in a most holistic manner how climate change can generate various risks and how they are actually interconnected. Based on a literature survey using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report, we identified 91 climate risks and 253 causal relationships among them and graphically drew such interconnected risks. We found that changes in the climate system impact the natural and socioeconomic system, influencing ultimately human security, health, and well-being. This indicates that climate change can trigger a cascade of impacts across sectors. Our findings point to the need to address the climate risk interconnections in impact and vulnerability studies. We tested our visualization approach with potential users and identified likely benefits and issues. The implications of our study go beyond science. Our study is useful to inform stakeholders of a broad yet fresh perspective of climate risks that have not been presented before.
资助项目	Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Ministry of the Environment of Japan[S-10] ; Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology, through the Integrated Research Program for Advancing Climate Models ; Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan[S-14] ; Low-Carbon Research Program of National Institute for Environmental Studies ; Environmental Research and Technology Development Fund of Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan[2RF-1802] ; Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship in the Oxford Martin School ; Chinese Academy of Sciences President's International Fellowship Initiative[2017PC0068]
WOS关键词	ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; TIPPING ELEMENTS ; IMPACTS
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
出版者	AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
WOS记录号	WOS:000461279800003
资助机构	Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Ministry of the Environment of Japan ; Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology, through the Integrated Research Program for Advancing Climate Models ; Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan ; Low-Carbon Research Program of National Institute for Environmental Studies ; Environmental Research and Technology Development Fund of Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan ; Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship in the Oxford Martin School ; Chinese Academy of Sciences President's International Fellowship Initiative
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/49177]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Yokohata, T.
作者单位	1.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Global Environm Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 2.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Reg Environm Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 3.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 4.Univ Tokyo, Inst Ind Sci, Tokyo, Japan 5.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hydrol Res Lab, Davis, CA 95616 USA 6.Univ Tsukuba, Fac Hlth & Sport Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 7.Hirosaki Univ, Grad Sch Sci & Technol, Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan 8.Japan Agcy Marine Earth & Technol, Project Team Adv Climate Modeling, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan 9.Japan Agcy Marine Earth & Technol, Res & Dev Ctr Global Change, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan 10.Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yokohata, T.,Tanaka, K.,Nishina, K.,et al. Visualizing the Interconnections Among Climate Risks[J]. EARTHS FUTURE,2019,7(2):85-100.
APA	Yokohata, T..,Tanaka, K..,Nishina, K..,Takahashi, K..,Emori, S..,...&Oki, T..(2019).Visualizing the Interconnections Among Climate Risks.EARTHS FUTURE,7(2),85-100.
MLA	Yokohata, T.,et al."Visualizing the Interconnections Among Climate Risks".EARTHS FUTURE 7.2(2019):85-100.