Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data | |
Gao MengXu1,2,5; Li XiaoWen1,2,3; Cao ChunXiang1,2; Zhang Hao1,2; Li Qun4; Zhou Hang4; He QiSheng1,2,5; Xu Min1,2,5; Zhao Jian1,2,5; Zheng Sheng1,2,5 | |
刊名 | Science china-earth sciences
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2010-12-01 | |
卷号 | 53页码:8-15 |
关键词 | Himalayan marmot Plague Spatial prediction Garp Hj-1 satellite |
ISSN号 | 1674-7313 |
DOI | 10.1007/s11430-010-4122-9 |
通讯作者 | Li xiaowen(lix@bnu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Plague, caused by the gram-negative bacterium yersinia pestis, is a serious and rapidly progressing illness in humans that can be fatal if not treated effectively. the qinghai-tibet plateau is the largest area of natural himalayan marmot (marmota himalayana) plague foci in china and covers more than 630000 km(2). akesai county in gansu province is a part of this natural focus of plague and was chosen as a study area. our study used an ecological niche modeling (enm) approach to predict the potential distribution of the himalayan marmot. environment and disaster monitor satellite (hj-1) data was used to investigate environment factors that affect plague host animal activity. host animal point data from active surveillance was combined with environmental variables from the hj-1 satellite and other databases, and the models of the potential distribution of himalayan marmot were produced with the genetic algorithm for rule-set production (garp). the probability of marmot presence was divided into 0-5%, 5%-20%, 20%-40%, 40%-80%, and 80%-100% subgroups. areas with 80%-100% probability exhibited the greatest potential for the presence of himalayan marmot. according to the predicted potential distribution of himalayan marmot in the study area, active surveillance of plague hosts and plague control and prevention could be more efficient. |
WOS关键词 | LEAF-AREA INDEX ; YERSINIA-PESTIS ; MODELS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; ALGORITHM ; HISTORY ; RISK ; GARP |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | SCIENCE CHINA PRESS |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000286000400002 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
URI标识 | http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2409896 |
专题 | 中国科学院大学 |
通讯作者 | Li XiaoWen |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing Applicat, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Geog, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Off Dis Control & Emergency Response, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gao MengXu,Li XiaoWen,Cao ChunXiang,et al. Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data[J]. Science china-earth sciences,2010,53:8-15. |
APA | Gao MengXu.,Li XiaoWen.,Cao ChunXiang.,Zhang Hao.,Li Qun.,...&Chen Wei.(2010).Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data.Science china-earth sciences,53,8-15. |
MLA | Gao MengXu,et al."Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data".Science china-earth sciences 53(2010):8-15. |
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