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Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data
Gao MengXu1,2,5; Li XiaoWen1,2,3; Cao ChunXiang1,2; Zhang Hao1,2; Li Qun4; Zhou Hang4; He QiSheng1,2,5; Xu Min1,2,5; Zhao Jian1,2,5; Zheng Sheng1,2,5
刊名Science china-earth sciences
2010-12-01
卷号53页码:8-15
关键词Himalayan marmot Plague Spatial prediction Garp Hj-1 satellite
ISSN号1674-7313
DOI10.1007/s11430-010-4122-9
通讯作者Li xiaowen(lix@bnu.edu.cn)
英文摘要Plague, caused by the gram-negative bacterium yersinia pestis, is a serious and rapidly progressing illness in humans that can be fatal if not treated effectively. the qinghai-tibet plateau is the largest area of natural himalayan marmot (marmota himalayana) plague foci in china and covers more than 630000 km(2). akesai county in gansu province is a part of this natural focus of plague and was chosen as a study area. our study used an ecological niche modeling (enm) approach to predict the potential distribution of the himalayan marmot. environment and disaster monitor satellite (hj-1) data was used to investigate environment factors that affect plague host animal activity. host animal point data from active surveillance was combined with environmental variables from the hj-1 satellite and other databases, and the models of the potential distribution of himalayan marmot were produced with the genetic algorithm for rule-set production (garp). the probability of marmot presence was divided into 0-5%, 5%-20%, 20%-40%, 40%-80%, and 80%-100% subgroups. areas with 80%-100% probability exhibited the greatest potential for the presence of himalayan marmot. according to the predicted potential distribution of himalayan marmot in the study area, active surveillance of plague hosts and plague control and prevention could be more efficient.
WOS关键词LEAF-AREA INDEX ; YERSINIA-PESTIS ; MODELS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; ALGORITHM ; HISTORY ; RISK ; GARP
WOS研究方向Geology
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
语种英语
出版者SCIENCE CHINA PRESS
WOS记录号WOS:000286000400002
内容类型期刊论文
URI标识http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2409896
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Li XiaoWen
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing Applicat, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Geog, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Off Dis Control & Emergency Response, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gao MengXu,Li XiaoWen,Cao ChunXiang,et al. Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data[J]. Science china-earth sciences,2010,53:8-15.
APA Gao MengXu.,Li XiaoWen.,Cao ChunXiang.,Zhang Hao.,Li Qun.,...&Chen Wei.(2010).Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data.Science china-earth sciences,53,8-15.
MLA Gao MengXu,et al."Spatial prediction and analysis of himalayan marmot plague natural epidemic foci in china based on hj-1 satellite data".Science china-earth sciences 53(2010):8-15.
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