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Radiosonde temperature trends and their uncertainties over eastern china
Guo, Yanjun1,4,5; Thorne, Peter. W.2; McCarthy, Mark P.2; Titchner, Holly A.2; Huang, Binxun3; Zhai, Panmao1; Ding, Yihui1
刊名International journal of climatology
2008-08-01
卷号28期号:10页码:1269-1281
关键词Radiosonde Temperature Uncertainty China
ISSN号0899-8418
DOI10.1002/joc.1633
通讯作者Guo, yanjun(gyj@cma.gov.cn)
英文摘要Trends and uncertainty in radiosonde temperature records for six sample stations in eastern china are assessed. results from a complex approach using metadata and a two-phase regression (m-tpr) to capture known and unknown metadata events respectively are compared with ill ensemble of possible solutions; generated by the met office automated homogenization system (quarc). independent satellite records from the microwave sounding unit (msu) record are used to validate breakpoints over the satellite era. differences in the treatment of metadata and the strictness of the statistical breakpoint detection methods used lead to relatively poor agreement in breakpoint identification. agreement ill long-term (1958-2003) trends in the homogenized data was found to result from a fortuitous cancellation of large differences in the pre- and post-satellite era trends between the two approaches. a consideration of independent msu satellite data lends some credence to the presence and calculated magnitude of many of the assigned breakpoints that were not associated with recorded metadata events. in the later part of the record. however, it also highlights that neither of the approaches is likely to be perfect at identifying breaks. improved metadata are likely to prove vital in confirming the presence of these breaks and hence the veracity of the various homogenization approaches to data cor eastern china. copyright (c) 2007 royal meteorological society.
WOS关键词2-PHASE REGRESSION-MODEL ; TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE ; TIME-SERIES ; UNDOCUMENTED CHANGEPOINTS ; TEMPORAL HOMOGENIZATION ; SATELLITE ; INHOMOGENEITIES ; REANALYSIS ; REVISION ; DATASETS
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
出版者WILEY-BLACKWELL
WOS记录号WOS:000258929700001
内容类型期刊论文
URI标识http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2387725
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Guo, Yanjun
作者单位1.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
2.Hadley Ctr, Met Off, Exeter, Devon, England
3.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, CMA, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.CMA, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Sch, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Guo, Yanjun,Thorne, Peter. W.,McCarthy, Mark P.,et al. Radiosonde temperature trends and their uncertainties over eastern china[J]. International journal of climatology,2008,28(10):1269-1281.
APA Guo, Yanjun.,Thorne, Peter. W..,McCarthy, Mark P..,Titchner, Holly A..,Huang, Binxun.,...&Ding, Yihui.(2008).Radiosonde temperature trends and their uncertainties over eastern china.International journal of climatology,28(10),1269-1281.
MLA Guo, Yanjun,et al."Radiosonde temperature trends and their uncertainties over eastern china".International journal of climatology 28.10(2008):1269-1281.
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