Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation
Liu, Jingya1; Li, Jing1; Qin, Keyu2; Zhou, Zixiang3; Yang, Xiaonan1; Li, Ting1
刊名SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
2017-05-15
卷号586页码:522-526
关键词Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region Land-use Land change modeler Ecosystem services Scenario
英文摘要Social economy of China has been rapidly developing for more than 30 years with efficient reforms and policies being issued. Societal developments have resulted in a greater use of many natural resources to the extent that the ecosystem can no longer self-regulate, thus severely damaging the balance of the ecosystem itself. This in turn has led to a deterioration in people's living environments. Our research is based on a combination of climate scenarios presented in the fifth report of the Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and policy scenarios, including the one-child policy and carbon tax policy. We adopted Land Change Modeler of IDRISI software to simulate and analyze land-use change under 16 future scenarios in 2050. Carbon sequestration, soil conservation and water yields were quantified, based on those land-use maps and different ecosystem models. We also analyzed trade-offs and synergy among each ecosystem service and discussed why those interactions happened. The results show that: (1) Global climate change has a strong influence on future changes in land-use. (2) Carbon sequestration, water yield and soil conservation have a mutual relationship in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. (3) Climate change and implementation of policy have a conspicuous impact on the changes in ecosystem services in the Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region. This paper can be used as a reference for further related research, and provide a reliable basis for achieving the sustainable development of the ecosystem. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
收录类别SCI
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000398758800051
内容类型期刊论文
版本出版稿
源URL[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/136717]  
专题海洋研究所_海洋地质与环境重点实验室
作者单位1.Shaanxi Normal Univ, Coll Tourism & Environm, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Marine Geol & Environm, Qingdao 266000, Shandong, Peoples R China
3.Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Geomat, Xian 710062, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,et al. Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2017,586:522-526.
APA Liu, Jingya,Li, Jing,Qin, Keyu,Zhou, Zixiang,Yang, Xiaonan,&Li, Ting.(2017).Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,586,522-526.
MLA Liu, Jingya,et al."Changes in land-uses and ecosystem services under multi-scenarios simulation".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 586(2017):522-526.
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