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	复杂产品仿真可信度鲁棒评估方法
	刘博元 ; 张凌宇 ; 范文慧 ; 曲慧杨 ; 侯宝存 ; LIU Boyuan ; ZHANG Lingyu ; FAN Wenhui ; QU Huiyang ; HOU Baocun
	2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词	仿真可信度 层次分析法 D-S证据理论 鲁棒评估 simulation reliability analytic hierarchy process D-S evidence theory robust evaluation TP391.9
其他题名	Robust Evaluation Method for Complex Product Simulation Reliability
中文摘要	计算机建模仿真已经发展为重要的产品开发和系统测试手段。仿真可信度对仿真结果非常重要,但评估仿真可信度的过程常常较为繁琐。面向复杂产品仿真的可信与可靠评估需求,研究了评估风险的来源,提出了复杂产品仿真可信度鲁棒评估方法。该方法尽可能多地利用专家经验知识、仿真数据和试验数据的评估信息进行定性定量综合评估,通过建立评估结果分析反馈的优化机制,实现在反复迭代的评估过程中,减小不确定因素的影响,使评估结果逐渐趋向一致、稳定,以提高复杂产品仿真的评估结果的可信性、可靠性和鲁棒性。; Computer simulation has developed into an important means for product development and system test. Simulation reliability is critical to simulation results,but the evaluation procedure of simulation reliability is usually very tedious. In this paper,to meet the need of simulation reliability evaluation,the source of evaluation risk is studied,and a robust evaluation method for complex product simulation reliability is proposed. By utilizing the information of expert knowledge,simulation data and experiment data as much as possible,and establishing an analysis and repose optimizing mechanism of simulation results,the method can mitigate the effect caused by uncertainties,and make the evaluation results become more similar and stable,which will enhance the credibility,simulation and robustness of simulation evaluation results for complex product.
语种	中文 ; 中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/147155]
专题	清华大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	刘博元,张凌宇,范文慧,等. 复杂产品仿真可信度鲁棒评估方法[J],2016, 2016.
APA	刘博元.,张凌宇.,范文慧.,曲慧杨.,侯宝存.,...&HOU Baocun.(2016).复杂产品仿真可信度鲁棒评估方法..
MLA	刘博元,et al."复杂产品仿真可信度鲁棒评估方法".(2016).

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